J. For. Sci., 2025, 71(4):159-170 | DOI: 10.17221/42/2024-JFS

Status and trend analysis of the production, export and import of wood and wood products in the G20 countries from 2004 to 2021Original Paper

Vinod Kumar Upadhyay, Ritesh Tailor, Rashmi Ramesh Shanbhag, Narasimha Murthy, Pradeep Kumar Kushwaha, Manish Ranjan
ICFRE – Institute of Wood Science and Technology, Bengaluru, India

The aim of this work was to study the use of different types of wood products by the G20 countries. In the current scenario, every country is concerned about the severe exploitation of forests and the ensuing lack of markets for timber. Production and consumption of wood and wood products by the G20 countries account for 85% of global GDP and two-thirds of the world's population. Data for the study includes eight major categories of wood products in the G20 countries from 2004 to 2021: industrial raw wood, sawlogs and veneer logs, sawn wood, wood fuel, wood-based panels, paper and paperboard, pulp for paper, wood pellets, and other agglomerates. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were used to predict the production, export, and import behaviour of wood and wood products from 2022 to 2030. According to the findings, the G20 countries would consume 1 644.6 million m3 of industrial raw wood in 2030, followed by 984.8 million m3 of sawlogs and veneer logs, 454.7 million m3 of sawn wood, 882.5 million m3 of wood fuel, 406.2 million t of paper and paperboard, 199.4 million t of pulp for paper, and 51.7 million t of wood pellets and other agglomerates. This study provides decision-makers with an analysis of the production and consumption of wood product markets in the G20 countries, which can be used for policy decisions.

Keywords: autoregressive integrated moving average model; forecast; time series; wood trade

Received: June 26, 2024; Revised: September 23, 2024; Accepted: January 15, 2025; Prepublished online: April 24, 2025; Published: April 29, 2025  Show citation

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Kumar Upadhyay V, Tailor R, Shanbhag RR, Murthy N, Kumar Kushwaha P, Ranjan M. Status and trend analysis of the production, export and import of wood and wood products in the G20 countries from 2004 to 2021. J. For. Sci. 2025;71(4):159-170. doi: 10.17221/42/2024-JFS.
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